Atlanta Hawks

Vegas Over/Under: 43.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a classic case of losses needing to pile up somewhere. Though they were able to replace Al Horford with another star center in Dwight Howard, and though Dennis Schroder is a hands-on replacement for Jeff Teague, both can be considered downgrades.

Kyle Korver is 35, Howard and Tiago Splitter have been injury-prone in recent years, Kent Bazemore might not exceed expectations now that he’s cashed in on his contract year and there may be spacing issues on offense between Howard and Paul Millsap.

Mike Budenholzer is a tremendous coach, which makes Vegas’ line at 43.5 a risky bet either way. But with so many teams improving in the East, the most likely outcome for last year’s 48-win squad finishes around .500 in 2016-17.

Hoops Habit Projection: 41 (under)